17 Jan
2011
2011 Housing Forecast Seminar
This week in Edmonton, the 2011 Housing Forecast seminar took place. Here's a few key points and predictions for the upcoming year.
MLS trends:
· Generally balanced market, 3% rise in prices overall with seasonal fluctuations
· Fewer new spec homes creates demand for resale
· Inventory and DOM drop in quarter 3 and 4
· Average price dropped in 2010 about 10% due in large part to less luxury sales
· recreational properties will be slowed by low cost real estate opportunities in the U.S.
Development trends:
· New standard detached lot is 40' wide (as opposed to 30')
· most development growth on South, SW, SE side of Edmonton with Leduc and surrounding towns offering a variety of product and potential for growth
· Housing starts flat until 2012 when we will start to see a modest increase in demand
· Rental trends:
· Vacancy rates dropping slightly (to around 3.5%) construction likely wouldn't ramp up for new rental housing unless vacancy rates drop down to 2%
· Rent rates holding steady, expect rates to move up slightly, about 2% in 2011